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Friday, April 26, 2024

NEDA: PH economy will return to pre-pandemic level this year

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Economic Planning Secretary Karl Kendrick Chua said the Philippine economy will return to pre-pandemic growth this year as the country continues to build on progress in recovering from COVID-19.

Chua, who attended the Philippine Consulate General town hall meeting in New York City on April 29, discussed the country’s progress in reducing poverty in the last six years, medium-term priorities and economic prospects moving forward.

“In 2015, poverty was estimated at 23.5 percent. By 2018, we have reduced it to 16.7 percent. Prior to the pandemic, we were very much on track to achieving 14 percent or less. The reason why we are able to do this is because of our commitment to the zero-to-ten point socioeconomic agenda,” said Chua.

Chua said the progress in achieving the zero-to-ten point socioeconomic agenda paved the way for the country to achieve its target of lifting six million Filipinos out of poverty in 2018, four years ahead of schedule. This also provided the Philippines with strong foundations to better address the challenges of the pandemic.

Chua stressed some of the administration’s notable achievements since 2016. Among these are the amendments to the Retail Trade Liberalization Act, Foreign Investment Act and the Public Service Act, which will help relax foreign ownership restrictions and increase competition that can improve the quality of goods and services at lower prices.

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The government also enacted the Comprehensive Tax Reform Program, which helped fund more infrastructure and social services, and the Rice Tariffication Law in 2019, which supported rice farmers in improving their productivity and significantly lowering the price of rice.

“Without a doubt, the pandemic and its adverse economic impacts are indeed testing the Philippine economy like never before. But unlike past crises, the Philippines has solid fundamentals to address this crisis. […] It is very important at the outset to have a strong macroeconomy so that you have enough buffers and enough resources to withstand any shocks, and you can concentrate on improving the welfare of the people,” he said.

Chua also highlighted recent developments in the government’s response to COVID-19. He said the administration is committed to accelerating and sustaining economic recovery despite the crisis.

“In the final months of the Duterte administration, we are vigorously pursuing the economy’s full recovery to restore jobs and bring more people out of poverty. Executive Order No. 166, signed a few weeks ago, fully opens the economy, and we are working on getting tourists back [and] getting travel back to as normal as possible,” he said.

EO No. 166 provides a ten-point policy agenda aimed at accelerating the economy’s recovery from the pandemic. It includes strategies such as reducing travel restrictions and accelerating the vaccination program, which will enable the economy to restart activity and bounce back.

“All of the things we are doing in the Duterte administration are about bridging the future. […] And these reforms that we have been doing are exactly what needs to be done so that we can impart a better future to the next generation,” Chua said.

Meanwhile, the Department of Finance said the economy recovered nearly 2.5 million jobs in February following the loosening of tighter quarantine restrictions imposed in January. Over the period, more than 2.4 million individuals who were not in the labor force either found employment or started to actively seek employment.

The February employment and unemployment rates held steady at 93.57 percent and 6.43 percent, respectively, while underemployment rate eased to 14.03 percent. The employment rate remained firm as the labor force expanded by 5.8 percent month-on-month to 48.6 million.

“As always, the country needs to stay alert and not let its guard down as the virus continues to mutate lest the previous episodes where the situation would appear to get better before things turn much worse play out again,” the DOF said.

“Medium- to long-term, the passage of the amendments to the Foreign Investments Act, the Retail Trade Liberalization Act and the Public Service Act will help bring in more employers. More employers seeking and competing for skilled labor could translate into higher offered wages. This market-based mechanism raises salaries even without increasing the minimum wage. For a pragmatic household head with family to support and children to send to school, it would not matter if the employer is brown, white, or yellow as long the paymaster pays well,” the agency said.

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