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Wednesday, May 1, 2024

China trims interest rate for the 1st  time in 20 months

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BEIJING, China—China’s central bank cut a key interest rate on Monday for the first time in nearly two years in a bid to kickstart growth in the world’s number two economy as it creaks under the impact of a real estate crisis and coronavirus flare-ups.
The People’s Bank of China said in a statement that it had lowered the loan prime rate (LPR) to 3.8 percent from 3.85 percent in November.
The move marks the first reduction of the rate—which guides how much interest commercial banks charge to corporate borrowers—since April 2020.
It also follows the bank’s decision earlier this month to lower the amount of cash that lenders must hold in reserve, which it said would release 1.2 trillion yuan ($188 billion) into the economy.
“Today’s cut will immediately feed through to outstanding floating rate business loans and should also lead to cheaper loans for new fixed rate borrowers,” said Mark Williams, chief Asia economist at Capital Economics.
“We expect a cut to the five-year LPR before long which will make mortgages slightly cheaper and help official efforts support housing demand,” he added.
The reduction comes despite concerns about inflation, with factory gate prices rising at levels last seen in the mid-1990s. 
Jeffrey Halley, at OANDA, said China “appears to be blinking in the face of slowing growth next year.” AFP
“Far more loans are based on the one-year LPR than the five-year, so the move is a concrete signal that China is moving into supportive monetary policy,” he added.
China was the only major economy to expand in 2020 despite the pandemic, but growth has slowed this year owing to headwinds from a festering debt crisis in its property sector and localized COVID outbreaks.
The real estate industry—a major growth driver—remains a cause for concern, with several large companies including Evergrande defaulting on bond repayments in recent weeks.
Virus outbreaks in the nation’s eastern and southern industrial hubs have also caused some districts to shut down and forced hundreds of thousands of people into quarantine and other restrictions.
Lu Ting of Nomura warned that the LPR cut is “too small to be impactful.”
“The real drags on the Chinese economy are the supply-side shock due to the rising costs of China’s zero-COVID strategy in containing waves of coronavirus, slowing export growth, and the worsening property sector,” he said.
Addressing these bottlenecks, he added, requires “much more aggressive easing and stimulus measures.” AFP

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