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Fed worries erase 2023 market gains

Manila StandardbyManila Standard
February 28, 2023, 7:15 pm
in Business, Stocks
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Stocks fell for a fourth trading day, erasing the market’s gains since the start of the year, over concerns the Federal Reserve will push interest rates higher than expected and for longer than feared as it battles stubborn inflation.

The PSE index, the 30-company benchmark of the Philippine Stock Exchange, lost 43 points, or 0.65 percent, to close at 6,556.20 Tuesday, as three of the six subsectors declined. It was also down 0.16 percent since the start of this year’s trading.

The broader index representing all shares shed 5 points, or 0.14 percent, to settle at 3,527.17, on a value turnover of P21.17 billion. Gainers outnumbered losers, 117 to 80, while 40 issues were unchanged.

Only two of the 10 most active stocks ended in the green, led by Bank of the Philippine Islands which climbed 6.60 percent to P109.80 and Manila Electric Co. which rose 0.95 percent to P317.80.

The share price of 2GO jumped 18 percent to finish at P9.10 after SM Investments Corp. said its board of directors approved the conduct of a tender offer to acquire 378.82 million shares, equivalent to a 15.39-percent stake, in the logistics firm.

Based on the closing price of P9.10 per share, the tender offer could cost P3.4 billion.

Asian markets were mixed Tuesday. Early gains in some bourses were erased as traders struggled to track advances on Wall Street while keeping a wary eye on several data releases this week that will provide a fresh snapshot of the US economy.

Recent figures showing a robust jobs market and inflation not coming down as quickly as hoped have spooked traders this month as they bet on more Fed rate hikes, wiping out most of January’s equities rally.

“It’s becoming increasingly clear to the market that the Federal Reserve is not yet finished with rate hikes,” Seema Shah, at Principal Asset Management, said.

“Relentless monetary tightening will eventually weigh on both the economy and earnings—a headwind that will, inevitably, renew and extend the equity market drawdown.”

Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore and Wellington were all in the green but Jakarta, Mumbai and Bangkok slipped.

Hong Kong was also down despite news that the government will drop a long-running mask requirement from Wednesday, removing the last of the Covid rules that have dealt a severe blow to the city’s economy.

London, Paris and Frankfurt fell at the open.

Still, some commentators said that with more Fed hikes now priced into valuations, equities could see a period of gains.

“Investors are debating whether January’s inflation reflation was just another temporary bump in the road as the economy adjusts to a post-pandemic world,” SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes said.

“Indeed one look at Brent oil prices struggling to hold on to the $82 handle doesn’t precisely reignite worrisome inflationary fires.”

On currency markets, the pound held on to most of Monday’s gains that came on the back of an agreement between Britain and the European Union on an overhaul of trade rules in Northern Ireland.

Crude prices picked up after losses sparked by concerns over the impact on demand from the Fed’s rate hike campaign

Still, Edward Moya at OANDA said prices had been initially helped by “the halting of a Russian pipeline to Poland, but that was unable to help shake off demand worries”.

“Oil seems like it will stay heavy as both tensions between the [United States and China] and recession worries grow.”

He added that West Texas Intermediate should be supported around $70 but could pick up on signs of improving demand. With AFP

Tags: global stock marketsPhilippine Stock Exchange IndexPSEiStock Market
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