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Friday, April 19, 2024

Stocks and peso decline on Fed rate hike concerns

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Stocks fell Monday, and the US dollar strengthened against Asian currencies after a forecast-busting US jobs report fanned expectations of more Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

The PSE index, the 30-company benchmark of the Philippine Stock Exchange, lost 90 points, or 1.29 percent, to close at 6,936.61, as all six subsectors declined.

The broader all-share index also retreated 30 points, or 0.83 percent, to settle at 3,674.68, on a value turnover of P9.95 billion. Losers outnumbered gainers, 103 to 79, while 51 issues were unchanged.

Three of the 10 most active stocks ended in the green, led by Megaworld Corp. which climbed 2.65 percent to P2.32. DMCI Holdings Inc. gained 2.45 percent to P11.72, while Robinsons Land Corp. advanced 2.29 percent to P16.10.

Meanwhile, the peso tumbled 1.32 percent Monday to 54.39 against the US dollar from 53.68 Friday on expectations that the Fed would continue raising interest rates to tame inflation.

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Most Asian markets also traded lower. Adding to the downbeat mood were geopolitical concerns after the United States shot down a suspected Chinese spy balloon that had floated across the country for days.

The rally enjoyed through January has come to a halt this month as investors contemplate an extended period of high borrowing costs aimed at bringing inflation down from multi-decade highs.

A softer tone from the Fed regarding its monetary tightening campaign had allowed market participants to entertain the possibility of a pause, or even a cut, later in the year.

But that optimism was dealt a heavy blow Friday by data showing more than half a million new jobs were created in the United States last month, nearly double the December figure and far more than the 188,000 expected.

Government figures also showed unemployment fell to the lowest level since 1969.

The reading showed the world’s biggest economy remained strong despite almost a year of rate hikes and soaring prices, indicating the Fed still had plenty of work to do to rein in inflation.

“We are concerned that on the back of this kind of jobs report, it definitely holds the Fed to a higher-for-longer path,” said Lisa Erickson at US Bank Wealth Management.

“There are of course other data points that are going to come before the next meeting, but it certainly puts a placeholder that the labor market continues to run some risk of being extremely tight.”

Traders now expect the Fed to keep pushing rates up to more than five percent before stopping.

And San Francisco Fed chief Mary Daly said she was prepared to keep hiking, while rates would also remain elevated for some time.

All three main indexes sank on Wall Street, with the Nasdaq down more than one percent as tech firms took a hit after disappointing earnings from giants Amazon, Alphabet and Apple.

The losses continued in Asia, with Hong Kong falling around two percent, while Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Taipei, Bangkok, Wellington and Jakarta were also down.

However, there were gains in Tokyo.

Mumbai fell again with embattled tycoon Gautam Adani’s troubled empire suffering more big losses, meaning it has now lost around $120 billion.

Flagship Adani Enterprises, which gained more than 1,000 percent in five years before the rout, was down 2.6 percent, having been off almost 10 percent in early trade.

Trading in Adani Total Gas and in Adani Power was again suspended after the stocks fell five percent.

Traders were keeping tabs on China-US relations after the shooting down of the giant balloon at the weekend.

Pentagon officials described the airship as a “high-altitude surveillance balloon”, adding, without elaboration, that Washington had taken steps to block it from collecting sensitive information.

Beijing hit out at the move, warning it “seriously impacted and damaged” relations, having said earlier that it was a weather balloon that had been blown off course.

The incident dealt a blow to already tense relations, with Secretary of State Antony Blinken on Friday scrapping a planned rare trip to Beijing designed to contain rising tensions. With AFP

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