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Thursday, April 18, 2024

Stock market closes flat; Emperador tops gainers

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Share prices closed virtually flat Thursday following a sell-off in New York spurred by minutes from the Federal Reserve indicating officials intended to keep lifting interest rates to tackle decades-high inflation.

The Philippine Stock Exchange Index added just 5.64 points, or 0.08 percent, to 6,824.63 on a value turnover of P13.8 billion. Losers, however, edged gainers, 104 to 96, with 40 issues unchanged.

Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp., a major solar power developer, dropped 3.9 percent to P1.73, while property developer Ayala land Inc. of the Ayala Group, fell 2.7 percent to P28.60.

Emperador Inc. of business tycoon Andrew Tan, the biggest liquor maker, however, advanced 2 percent to P20.55, while Security Bank Corp., the eighth-largest private bank in terms of assets, rose 1.9 percent to P92.45.

The rest of Asian markets dropped Thursday.

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While US policymakers said they would eventually have to start tempering their tightening pace, they said they would keep borrowing costs elevated “for some time,” though admitted there was a risk of going too far and damaging the economy.

The minutes dampened hopes that after a period of quick, sharp increases this year, the bank could possibly begin lowering them in 2023 once inflation was coming down.

Bets on a more dovish approach in the new year had been boosted by data showing inflation came down quicker in July than expected. That helped drive a rally in equities from their June lows and weighed on the dollar.

But the realization that policy would likely stay restrictive undermined the sense of optimism, pushing all three indexes on Wall Street down Wednesday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq taking the biggest hit, while the dollar rallied and extended gains in Asia. 

And news that UK inflation spiked above 10 percent for the first time since 1982 added to the downbeat mood.

Asian traders appeared increasingly worried that the Fed will slip up as it tries to bring down inflation without causing another recession in the world’s biggest economy.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Sydney, Shanghai, Seoul, Taipei, Mumbai, Wellington and Bangkok were down, though Singapore and Jakarta edged up. 

“The key takeaway from these minutes would appear to show that there is little inclination on the part of anyone on the (policy board) to even look at the possibility of rate cuts,” said Michael Hewson at CMC Markets.

He added that they “chime with more recent comments from Fed officials which suggest that we could see at least another 1.5% in rate rises by year end.”

And JP Morgan Asset Management’s Meera Pandit told Bloomberg Television: “We do still anticipate there’s going to be a lot of interest-rate volatility in the back half of the year, especially once markets start to perhaps acknowledge the fact that we might not necessarily see cuts in 2023 that are being priced in.”

Sentiment was also dragged by continuing worries about China’s economy, with Goldman Sachs and Nomura slashing their growth outlooks again following another weak round of data and as the country reels from COVID-19 lockdowns. With AFP

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